British Pound Binary Trades

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GBP/USD Forecast: British pound pulled back to the upper side

After failing to sustain the break below the zone 1.20231-1.21352, the British pound pulled back to the upperside and is now above the same zone, while the price is held above this zone, we are expecting a possible momentum to the upper side and should break above the previous week’s highest high towards 1.32981, this view can only be invalidated in case the price breaks again below 1.20231, this being the case, I expect a possible momentum much lower towards 1.15250 or even lower.

Wait for a buy from within 1.20231-1.21352 towards 1.32981.

A Binary Way To Play The British Pound

The GBP/USD currency pair has been volatile. In 2020, the Pound’s value moved up and down, range-bound between 1.4632 USD and 1.5881.

So, a couple of questions arise: First off, where will the Pound go next? Will it go on to tumble as it has over the past six months? And, will the decline be constant or volatile? Finally, are there ways to benefit from the currency’s moves – other than acquiring the actual currency?

Well, binary options provide an interesting alternative.

What Are Binary Options?

Trading via binary options is just that: Playing a binary event. “Binary options are limited risk contracts based on a simple yes/no market proposition like will the markets go up by the end of the trading week,” binary options trading site Nadex explained.

Trading Currency Pairs Via Binaries

A classic Forex Binary Option contract may be: GBP/USD (Wed) > 1.483 (2PM)

In this example, the GBP/USD rate is 1.481.

For traders thinking the GBP/USD rate will stand above 1.483 by 2pm Wednesday, buying this Binary Option could be the way to go.

For those thinking the GBP/USD rate will stand below 1.483 by 2pm Wednesday, selling these contracts makes sense.

Disclosure: Javier Hasse holds no positions in any of the securities mentioned above.

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British Pound: What Every Trader Needs to Know

What is the British Pound?

The Pound Sterling, abbreviated as GBP for “Great British Pound”, is the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the world’s oldest currency that is still in use. Its name derives from the Latin word “libra”, meaning “pound”, and is denoted as £.

The first use of the pound can be traced back to 775 AD, when silver pennies were the main currency in the Anglo-Saxon kingdoms. Prior to the use of the decimal system, the pound’s value was equal to 240 sterling silver pennies, which was equivalent to one pound of silver. In 928, the pound was made the official currency of Anglo-Saxon England. In 1717, the United Kingdom moved away from silver and re-defined their currency’s value in terms of gold.

History of the Bank of England

In 1694, the Bank of England (BoE) was established. It is the world’s second-oldest central bank. It was established as a way to fund the military effort during the Nine Years’ War and was initially created as a private entity that functioned as a banker to the government.

In 1844, the passage of the Bank Charter Act gave the BoE a monopoly on issuing the pound and limited the power of other British banks. In 1914, the conversion of the pound into gold was suspended in order to support the UK’s military efforts during the First World War. The pound officially came off the gold standard in 1931.

In 1946, the BoE was officially nationalized. In 1979, exchange rate controls on the pound were lifted, and it was allowed for the first time to float as a fiat currency on the market.

What moves the British Pound?

I. BOE M onetary P olicy

The BoE’s mandate is to maintain monetary and financial stability. To achieve these objectives, it aims for an inflation target of 2 percent. The central bank can use conventional policy instruments such as interest rate hikes and cuts, open market operations and other monetary levers to achieve this objective. The BoE can also use non-standard policies such as quantitative easing (QE) and asset purchase programs that emerged after the subprime mortgage crisis in 2008.

The central bank also releases minutes from meetings of the policy-setting MPC committee, publishes a quarterly Inflation Report and holds press conferences. These allow markets to approximate the direction of interest rates based on “hawkish” or “dovish” rhetoric from BoE officials. Additionally, indicators of economic activity such as GDP and CPI reports, along with PMI surveys, have a noteworthy effect on the pound by way of shaping BoE policy expectations.

Unexpectedly positive or negative data from these various indices has a tendency to lead markets to speculate on potential hawkish or dovish shifts in policy from the BoE. Consequently, this market-driven speculation often leads to price fluctuations in the pound.

II. Geopolitical Uncertainty – Brexit

Political instability risk has played an increasingly significant role in influencing the British Pound price trend since 2020. On June 23 of that year, the UK voted in a national referendum to withdraw from the European Union, which has come to be known as “Brexit”. The deadline for the separation is March 2020 and negotiations about what the subsequent UK/EU relationship will look like are ongoing in the interim.

Due to uncertainty about Brexit’s impact on UK economic growth and monetary policy, the pound plummeted to a 30-year low in the referendum’s immediate aftermath. Globally, vote marked an adverse turn in market sentiment, causing stock market indices to drop. Share prices and the UK unit bounced back up as initial market panic eased but the episode illustrates what might happen were negotiations to struggle or founder altogether.

Effect of “Brexit” on the GBP/USD and the FTSE 100 Index

Trading the British Pound

GBP is the fourth-most traded currency in the world, composing 12% of global market turnover (according to the Bank of International Settlements). It also serves as the third-most held reserve currency. GBP/USD – Sterling’s pairing with the US Dollar – is the third most traded currency cross globally. Widespread use speaks to abundant liquidity, which often implies relatively lower transaction costs and higher-quality trade execution.

The UK’s geographical proximity to and close economic ties with continental Europe can sometimes see the pound function as a regional alternative to the euro. That can translate into an outsized response at times of institutional stress within the Eurozone. It also means the pound can be a way for investors to have exposure to the European economy without taking on euro-specific risk.

The pound is also something of a gateway to London, the largest financial center in Western Europe. Its moves can thus reflect capital flows in and out of this critical hub for global investors.

Commonly traded GBP currency pairs:

— Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Jr Currency Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Dimitri, use the comments section below or @ZabelinDimitri on Twitter

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